Huge amounts of money are being withdrawn from the stock market at the end of the day causing the market to collapse or at the least vast fluctuations in the worlds stock markets. Who would benefit from the worlds economic collapse and in particular a collapse in the US economy—The Chinese, The Russians, someone in the middle east or an extremely wealth person or persons. Who knows? I can think of a lot of reasons why they wouldn’t benefit. Aren’t the Chinese and most Middle Eastern nations t tied to the US dollar and the Euro; don’t the Russians and the Middle Eastern countries need us to buy their oil?

Of course, if emotion is dictating action then logic goes out the window. For logic we need a poll. Or do we?

I don’t know what is going to happen on November 4, but I don’t believe polls. Polls drive the nightly news, but even the candidates know they aren’t worth much. That’s why the candidates have their own internal polls that tell them more than ABC/NBC/Gallup or Zogby et al can. Their polls tell them how they are really doing. 

Why are the major polls so divergent? In some cases it depends on how the questions are worded.  Although, in this case one wouldn’t think the questions would matter. 

Another variable is the size of the polling sample. Did they call 500 people or 1500? The larger the sample the better the poll is unless they skew it to get the result they want.

How do you do that? Simple. You can call into an area that has more likely voters for the candidate you want to win then you do for this opponent. Then you can say gosh Candidate X is winning by 20% (or 5%.) The polls can be skewed without any help from deliberate manipulation too. How many people have caller ID and won’t answer the phone; how many people don’t have land lines and never get polled; how many people lie to pollsters (I’d never do that. “>).

No one will know for sure until after the vote is counted. You can’t even rely on exit polls. I just saw a study that said Democrats are more likely to answer exit polls then Republicans and independents. Which explained why the pollsters called the 2004 race for John Kerry. You all remember President John Kerry don’t you?

And, then there are actual voting manipulations. For instance a lot of states aren’t accepting military absentee ballots for baseless reasons and Mickey Mouse will be allowed to vote absentee because ACORN registered him. 

Ask me if this country is going in the right direction and I’d say no, but not for the reasons the pollsters think. I think this country is going in the wrong direction because groups like ACORN (aided and abetted by a corrupt judiciary) are making a sham of our democratic processes. In fact, Zogby asked me that question and I said the country was headed in the right direction because the options they gave me were not ones I agreed with (in all of them I had to blame George Bush for everything) and there was no option for other. I have problems with him on a lot of issues, but in general he’s doing OK. 

At least he never told us we need sub-prime loans so that everyone can own a home and then forced me to pay for someone who bought a home they couldn’t afford. Meanwhile, the people responsible for pushing the sub-prime fiasco through Congress will probably get reelected because they’ve succeeded in convincing the masses that it’s all George Bush’s fault. Who’s to blame? The Congress (Republican and Democrat), the less than stellar people who bought a home they couldn’t afford, or us for voting in more people who are responsible for sub-prime loans. I don’t know the answer to that question. But I have one for you.

Is the water hot enough for you yet?